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NFL Picks – Week 1

Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers

Lambeau Field - Sunday Night - NBC

Line: Packers - 3 1/2
Over/Under: 46

The oldest rivalry in football is one of the feature games from Week 1 NFL betting action. This battle goes back as far as 1923, when the first meeting resulted in a 3-0 Bears win (they covered as a 2.5-point favorite...just kidding)

This weekend's game has a line on it of -3.5 that's the current line at sportsbook .

The line actually opened at -3, but steady money has been coming in on the home team Packers, pushing the line up to -3.5. Most online sportsbooks are reporting 70 to 75% of the betting volume is Green Bay money. I don't see that changing as we get closer to kick-off, and in fact, I think this number could reach -4.

So if you like the Packers (check below for our pick on this one) you might want to get your bet in now.

The Bears head to Lambeau having won four of the last five games in Green Bay, but note that they were blown out last year 37-3 in Week 11.

In Week 16 the Bears hosted Green Bay and turned the tables beating them 20-17 in overtime.

But this year is different, as the Packers will face a Bears team that finally has a franchise quarterback. This season the rivalry is renewed with a legitimate QB showdown as Aaron Rodgers welcomes Jay Cutler to the division. This rivalry could dominate this division for the next 10 seasons.

In 2008 Rodgers threw for 4,038 yards, 28 touchdowns and just 13 interceptions for an impressive passer rating of 93.8 in his first season as the Packers starter. Cutler threw for 4,526 yards, 25 touchdowns and 18 interceptions last year for a passer rating of 86. Both quarterbacks have big arms and can make any throw required to move the offense.

Green Bay has more weapons for Rodgers to spread the ball around and he had a good year with this group last season. The Bears offer Cutler two very good tight ends in Greg Olsen and Desmond Clark who might be the best tight end tandem in the NFL. The wide-receiving position is average however with all-pro punt returner Devin Hester penciled in as number one and second year receiver Earl Bennett as number two. Matt Forte has a great shot to improve on his 1200-yard season in 2008 with Cutler now in the fold.

But still, edge to the Packers.

The Packers brought in defensive guru Dom Capers to run the defense. He has switched the team over to a 3-4 scheme. The defense has adjusted well in preseason but it can take some time to fully implement the change.

Former Lions coach Rod Marinelli takes over as Defensive Coordinator of the Bears. The strength of the Bears for years has been their defense. Getting DT Tommie Harris back on the field is huge for the team. Marinelli is a noted line coach and Harris has already stated that he has helped him tremendously. Both he and Brian Urlacher are looking to rebound from a sub-par 2008 season. The defensive line is average and will get pushed around. They don't have a great pass rush other than weakside linebacker Lance Briggs, which could hurt them against the Pack. Top corner Charles Tillman is recovering from a back injury and looks good to go for the opener.

Overall, this looks pretty even, as the neither defense will be outmatched by the offense in any significant way...but the Packers do look like they can create some matchup advantages that I like.

I see Green Bay winning this game and will lay the 3 points (I'm buying the hook)

Good luck with your NFL betting this weekend.

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Reggie Bush fined 5k for taunting. Is the NFL too strict?

Reggie Bush turned back and pointed at Urlacher, and then flip into the endzone. He got fined 5k for that. I think the NFL is way too strict and it should be played with emotion not like some zombie robots who scores and hands the ball to the ref like its nothing. The NFL fines players for celebrating a TD how retarded is that. In hockey players duke it out and all is good, your telling me in a more brutal contact sport you cant do a simple celebration or taunt? By the way im not a Saints fan or nothing i just simply like the celebrations. I like the stuff T.O and Chad Johnson pull off. But it gets harder every year. NFL needs to loosen up.

Yeah Im not a Reggie Bush fan at all and even I think that is a silly fine. Hey its all part of the game. Football is also a mind game. And did that taunt work for the Saints........no it totally backfired. That defense did not allow another point scored on them that game. They shut the whole offense down and really shut down Reggie after that. I understand the fines but, I think this is going to far. People are paying to see entertainment. And seeing that is entertainment. I was dying when he did that. I couldnt stop laughing. Yeah would be good for the NFL to losen up those ties and let the players express there joy. Peace out and enjoy the Colts Super Bowl victory Sunday.

Banned Football Commercial - Brian Urlacher

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McFarlane NFL Chicago Bears Dick Butkus & Brian Urlacher Collector’s Edition Action Figure 2-Pack $33.15 McFarlane NFL Chicago Bears Dick Butkus & Brian Urlacher Collector’s Edition Action Figure 2-Pack McFarlane Toys is saluting the NFL's current stars and stalwart legends in 2011, and this Chicago Bears 2-pack is a nod to the Chicago Bears' long-standing commitment to a relentless, punishing defense. Hall of Fame linebacker Dick Butkus set the Chicago standard for toughness, and current defensive captain Brian Urlacher is the proud defender of that tradition. Brian Urlacher has returned from a year lost to injury to lead the Bears to the NFC North title and deep into the playoffs. This figure sports Chicago's retro uniform, notable for its orange numbers and logo-less helmet. It's the first time we've ever released a SportsPicks figure in this uniform. Dick Butkus returns to our SportsPicks line one year after debuting in our NFL Legends series. He's available in the white jersey that was previously available only as a Collector Level figure, but we've added heavy grass, dirt & mud stains to help it stand out on its own.

Brian Urlacher Chicago Bears Youth Reebok Jersey $59.99 Brian Urlacher Chicago Bears Youth Reebok Jersey If you are a football fan this Reebok youth replica jersey from NFL� Equipment is for you! This v-neck jersey is screen printed with your favorite player�s name and number and features a body constructed of quick drying heavy-duty polyester mesh blend. It has rugged double-needle construction on gusseted side panels with nylon dazzle sleeves and extended split drop tail. The NFL Equipment logo and Reebok logo are also featured.

Brian Urlacher #54 Chicago Bears NFL Woven Tapestry Throw Blanket (48x60") $34.05 Brian Urlacher #54 Chicago Bears NFL Woven Tapestry Throw Blanket (48x60") This loom woven triple layer tapestry throw blanket is fringed on all 4 sides. This blanket can be used at the game; on a picnic; in the bedroom; or cuddle under it in the den while watching the game. Use it as a room accent; bed covering; throw blanket or wall hanging. They are easy to care for; and are machine washable and dryable. This blanket is made of 100% acrylic. Actual item will vary from image.

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Brian Urlacher Player Pride Desk Top Photo Mint $49.95 Brian Urlacher Player Pride Desk Top Photo Mint Limited Edition 10�x12� frame with an easel back and double matting features a photo of your favorite NFL Player in action as well as his jersey number, his facsimile (replica) signature engraved in a nameplate and a Bronze 39mm Team Commemorative Coin. A numbered COA is pasted to the back of each frame. LE 2500 and Officially Licensed by NFL and NFLPA.

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