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Nfl Game Analysis: 3 Reasons to Bet on Oakland (+9.5) in Week 3

This particular match is interesting for the fact that both Buffalo and Oakland were favoured to cover the spread in separate high-percentage plays last week, and both ended up doing just that, ATS and straight-up.

This week, it appears that Buffalo will struggle versus an inflated 9 1/2 point spread; however, based on a number of reasons outlined below and while I am not bold enough to call an outright win for the Raiders, all signs point to a tightly fought contest.

So, why are the Bills facing potential trouble versus the spread this week?

Reason #1
Oakland finds themselves in an interesting Week 3 momentum situation that involves teams that lost their first game of the season, followed by a win in Week 2, and are now either 1st or 2nd in their division (the Raiders are currently in 2nd in the AFC West, behind Denver at 2-0).

Historically, teams ride their Week 2 turn-around to a spread-victory in Week 3 and they have been 29-3 ATS since 1994 and 7-1 ATS in the past 3 seasons.

Reason #2
Before Week 15 of the season, teams with a Big Rush Yardage % For of > 50 (58.7% of Oakland's rushing yardage has come on run plays of 10 or more yards so far) that also have a Play Book Execution Penalty Average Against of (the Raiders are actually averaging 1.0), are an astounding 128-60 ATS since 2001.

It's a fact: teams that can hurt opposing defenses with long gains on the ground (evidenced with a high BRY%F) that also take a low number of penalty calls related to the 'break-down' of offensive plays (i.e., ineligible receivers, too many men on the field, etc.), are an excellent wager against the spread, 7 years in a row.

Reason #3
Teams coming off a 4th Quarter Comeback (a game where a team that was losing at the start of the 4th quarter, came back to win SU) that gave up at least 30 Passing Attempts in this previous game, AND are currently facing an opponent with a Season Turn-over Differential of ; happen to be a brutal 27-97 ATS since 1994 and 2-22 ATS in the past 3 seasons alone.

Buffalo is in just this spot, after opening the 4th quarter last week at Jacksonville, down 13-10, and coming away with the 20-16 victory. It's a classic let-down situation that will not be helping the Bill's cause this Sunday.

For more information on these trends, and a total of 6 pages stuffed with every team statistic imaginable, please visit the 'Articles' page on my site.

Oakland's Confidence Percentage for covering the spread in this game is: 66%

About the Author

Dennis Arthur, a self-professed statistics junkie and American Football fanatic, has been providing innovative NFL analysis based against the Vegas point spread since 1999. For more wagering orientated articles like this one along with specialized team ratings and winning selections versus the spread, visit his site at http://www.armchairanalysis.com.

Have the Oakland Raiders had the most Head Coach firings this whole decade more than any other NFL team?

If not, which NFL team this whole decade has had the most Head Coach firings, most Head Coach replacements, etc., if not the Oakland Raiders?
the Oakland Raiders keep getting new head coaches every year, it's ridiculous.

Yes---- Stupid Owner = Stupid Decisions

Oakland Raiders NFL theme song

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Oakland Raiders NFL Pool Ball Set $199 Oakland Raiders NFL Pool Ball Set

NFL Oakland Raiders Cue and Case Combo $59.95 NFL Oakland Raiders Cue and Case Combo

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NFL Concept Shots and Isolated: , - Oakland Coliseum Panorama $14.99 NFL Concept Shots and Isolated: , - Oakland Coliseum Panorama - Photographic Print

NFL Concept Shots and Isolated: , - The Oakland Colliseum $14.99 NFL Concept Shots and Isolated: , - The Oakland Colliseum - Photographic Print

Oakland Raiders NFL Coin Bank $42.56 Oakland Raiders NFL Coin Bank Save up for your next NFL game with a Caseworks sports bank! You can choose to permanently engrave the NFL shield or your favorite NFL team logo. Measures 5 1/4 X 5 3/4 X 6 1/8

Oakland Raiders NFL Hitch Cover $24.1 Oakland Raiders NFL Hitch Cover Our officially licensed NFL oval hitch cover is made of durable zinc and fits class II and class III hitch covers.

Oakland Raiders NFL Carpet Tiles $287.99 Oakland Raiders NFL Carpet Tiles is available from bedbathstore.com for only $239.99. Shop bedbathstore for the best price and quality with Free Shipping.

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Oakland Raiders NFL 8-Foot Banner $41.82 This Oakland Raiders banner measures 8 Feet long! Heavyweight weather resistant 420 denier nylon appliqué and embroidered Grommets for easy hanging Officially licensed by the NFL

Oakland Raiders NFL Cap Clip $18.06 Oakland Raiders NFL Cap Clip The stylish cap clip easily attaches to any hat; and includes 2 double sided enamel color fill magnetic markers.

NFL Logo Necklace - Oakland Raiders $9.95 NFL Logo Necklace - Oakland Raiders Offically Licensed Logo pendant strung on rubber cord. Pendants are approximately 1 1/4" h and enameled in vibrant color. Features an easy to open/close clasp.

Oakland Raiders NFL Garden Gnome $19.99 Oakland Raiders NFL Garden Gnome Display your team pride to all your neighbors with this 11.5 inch garden gnome. Each gnome is hand crafted and hand painted with raised and decal logos on the hat.

NFL Cotton Broadcloth Oakland Raiders Black/Silver $7.98 Cheer on the Oakland Raiders your favorite NFL team with this NFL cotton broadcloth fabric. Perfect for use in quilting projects, craft projects and even apparel.

NFL - Oakland Raiders Oakland Raiders - Vinyl Utility Mat 14"x17 $16.88 NFL - Oakland Raiders Oakland Raiders - Vinyl Utility Mat 14"x17 NFL - Oakland Raiders Oakland Raiders - Vinyl Utility Mat 14"x17" - Size:

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NFL History of the Oakland Raiders DVD $26.95 NFL History of the Oakland Raiders DVD This two-disc set celebrates the glorious history of the Oakland Raiders from the inception through training camp 2004. Bonus disc is the NFL Films production of the 1977 "Ghost to the Post" game in which the Raiders beat the Colts in a playoff overtime thriller. Includes tons of bonus features on the greatest Raider moments games and players.

Daryl Lamonica, Oakland Raiders NFL Authentic Autographed Full Size Helmet $329.95 A Certificate of Authenticity is included with this Daryle Lamonica autographed Oakland Raiders NFL helmet.

Oakland Raiders NFL Bedrest Pillow $30.73 Oakland Raiders NFL Bedrest Pillow Comfortable and practical; this pillow with arms is perfect for settling in to watch the game. The shell is made from durable 100% Cotton Duck and is dyed to match your favorite teams primary color. The fill is synthetic fiber. Your favorite teams logo is printed large in the center

Oakland Raiders NFL Embroidered Towel $20.27 Oakland Raiders NFL Embroidered Towel This 16 x 22" 100% cotton tri-folded embroidered towel is unmatched; and includes an attractive scrubber pattern for easier club cleaning; black swivel clip for easy attachment to any golf bag; top embroidered team logo and bottom team name embroidery.

Oakland Raiders Connect Four NFL Game $22.95 Enjoy this item featuring the NFL Oakland Raiders . The perfect gift for any Oakland Raiders fan!This exciting game comprises all the action of Connect Four's traditional strategy with NFL action. All packaged in attractive four color box

Oakland Raiders NFL MVP Bed Rest Pillow $65 Oakland Raiders NFL MVP Bed Rest Pillow is available from bedbathstore.com for only $49.99. Shop bedbathstore for the best price and quality with Free Shipping.

Oakland Raiders NFL Tailgater Hitch Cover $48.41 Oakland Raiders NFL Tailgater Hitch Cover Our tailgater hitch cover ? features a functional bottle opener and team emblem with enameled finish.

Oakland Raiders NFL Reebok Ladder Hat $24.99 Oakland Raiders NFL Reebok Ladder Hat You will stand out in the crowd while supporting your team in style with this NFL Ladder Hat by Reebok. This soft but tough hat features embroidered team logo on the front contrasting team color stripes and is made of 100% polyester. Officially licensed by the NFL.

Youth NFL Recline $29.97 Oakland -Raiders

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NFL Oakland Raiders Tailgate Table $258.68 Officially licensed by the NFL, this Oakland Raiders tailgate table is perfect for pre-game, post-game and everyday festivities.Aluminum constructionOfficially licensed with the NFLTransports easily, simply grab the handle and go.Ideal for outdoor functions, sports functions and barbecues.Lightweight, sturdy aluminum design.Measures: 8 feet Long x 2 feet Wide x 30 Inches High (Unfolded).Materials: Metal, plastic.Model number TPN-D-122

Universal NFL Oakland Raiders Pouch $15.99 Licensed NFL Oakland Raiders Universal Pouch - Genuine leather and high-quality construction with black color stitching and sealed seams for durability and classic good looks. The interior is lined with soft neoprene fabric that protects your phone from minor bumps and shock. Magnetic closing flap keeps your phone safely inside the case. Remember - Cellphone Accents stands by the quality of our cases with an unconditional 100% SATISFACTION GUARANTEE. ORDER NOW!

Oakland Raiders 60 NFL Umbrella $27.5 This 8 panel, windproof 60" umbrella features the Oakland Raiders colors and also includes team logo on two opposing panels. Made with a fiberglass shaft and handle that varies between wood or black soft grip. Ideal for the golf course or outdoor sporting events. Officially licensed by the NFL. 38" long 60" diameter when opened.Due to manufacturing issues, the colors and designs of the umbrella received may differ slightly from the image shown.

Oakland Raiders ProToast™ NFL Toaster $35.73 The ProToastTM is here. New from Pangea BrandsTM, this great retro style toaster not only has your favorite team on the outside, on the inside it is toasting your bread with the Oakland Raiders NFL logo too. Two-Slice Toaster Adjustable settings for desired toasting levels Includes setting for frozen breads Design will appear on White and Wheat Bread Can also toast frozen waffles, English muffins and bagels UL tested and approved

NFL 08 - Tim Brown - Oakland Raiders $16.4 NFL 08 - Tim Brown - Oakland Raiders The eighth series of National Football League action figures features six of the hottest players in football. Tim Brown, Oakland Raiders WR, No. 81, sculpted in an action pose in official team uniform and base.

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Oakland Raiders NFL Dynasty Banner $112.66 This Oakland Raiders NFL Dynasty Banner is a uniquely hand crafted wool banner with intricate embroidery and applique design detail. The dynasty banner measures 24 inches wide by 36 inches long.Brand: Winning StreakColor: Team ColorsMaterials: Wool, feltPattern: ColorblockLined: WoolDimensions: 24 inches wide x 36 inches long

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NFL Jewelry - 14k Oakland Raiders Football Pendant $420 NFL Jewelry - 14k Oakland Raiders Football Pendant is available from jewelbasket.com for only $224.00. Buy now and save. Jewelbasket offers the best value on Pendants, jewelry and gifts.

Oakland Raiders NFL Applique Banner Flag $33.96 Oversized 44" x 28" Oakland Raiders banner flag Made of heavyweight weather-resistant 420 denier nylonTwo-sided applique and embroiderySleeve for pole and also tabs for hanging on the wall Officially licensed by the NFL

Oakland Raiders NFL 60 Plush Mascot $330 Super sized and super fun! Take home one of your favorite mascots! The plush mascot figure is designed to look like your favorite NFL team mascot and features the official Oakland Raiders colors and logo.

Oakland Raiders NFL 20 Snowman Wreath $38.95 This team snowman Christmas wreath is accented with pine cones, holly berries and Mr. and Mrs. Snowman dressed in official NFL team colors with an authentic Oakland Raiders logo.

Oakland Raiders NFL Mallet Putter Cover $21.38 Oakland Raiders NFL Mallet Putter Cover Mallet putter cover; constructed of durable nylon with foam padding and fleece lining; fits right or left-handed; standard or center shaft mallet putter. Embroidered with collegiate trademark.

Oakland Raiders NFL Putter Cover - Blade $21.38 Oakland Raiders NFL Putter Cover - Blade This cover fits virtually all blade putters and includes 2 location embroidery and fleece lining for extra club protection. Made of buffalo vinyl and synthetic suede like materials.

Oakland Raiders NFL 50 imprinted tee pack $14.75 Oakland Raiders NFL 50 imprinted tee pack Pack includes 50 regulation 2-3/4 multi-colored tees with team imprint. A perfect way to tee up your next ball.

Oakland Raiders NFL Single Apex Jumbo Headcover $30.73 Oakland Raiders NFL Single Apex Jumbo Headcover This headcover fits all oversized clubs; and is made of buffalo vinyl and synthetic suede like materials with a truly sleek design. Includes 4 location embroidery.

Connect Four NFL Game - Oakland Raiders $19.55 Connect Four NFL Game - Oakland Raiders This exciting game comprises all the action of Connect Four's traditional strategy with NFLaction. All packaged in attractive four color box

Oakland Raiders NFL Repair Tool & Ball Marker $17.52 Oakland Raiders NFL Repair Tool & Ball Marker Repairs ball marks; marks your ball and cleans turf from golf cleats. Ball marker easily attaches to the magnetic front of the repair tool.

Siskiyou Gifts SGA125 NFL Sunglasses Oakland Raiders $24.05 Our NFL team sunglasses are the team logo screen printed on one side of the frames and the team logo on the other side of the frames. The sunglass arms feature rubber team colored accents. Oakland Raiders.

Siskiyou Gifts FMP125 NFL Mouse Pad Oakland Raiders $20.15 Our quality NFL mouse pad features a silk screened Oakland Raiders logo. 8 x 7 . Officially licensed NFL product.

Mr Potato Head NFL - Oakland Raiders $17.85 Mr Potato Head NFL - Oakland Raiders This fun toy can now be dressed up to be a fan or mascot of your favorite team. Each NFL Sports Spud includes a team jersey, helmet, foam finger, football, and other components. A great fan item - a great collectible. Clamshell packaged.

Oakland Raiders NFL Traditional Round Ornament $7.95 Oakland Raiders NFL Traditional Round Ornament Topperscot's traditional sports ornaments feature the NFL MLB NHL and select colleges. Each 2 5/8 " ornament is painted with the corresponding team colors. The team or college logo is boldly printed directly on the ornament. Each ornament comes individually gift boxed.

Oakland Raiders NFL Trailer Hitch Cover $39.57 Oakland Raiders NFL Trailer Hitch Cover Our NFL Trailer Hitch Cover is hand painted with 3-D carved logo. Hardware included. Enameled on durable; rust-proof zinc. Fits Class II and Class III hitches. Check out our extensive line of wholesale automotive accessories!

NFL Oakland Raiders Plaid Tie by NFL - Black Polyester $15 This official NFL plaid men's necktie features a Oakland Raiders theme, complete with the Raiders logo as well as team football helmets. This sporty tie is perfect for any Raiders fan!

Tim Brown Oakland Raiders NFL Authentic Autographed Wilson Jersey $305.95 A Certificate of Authenticity is included with this Tim Brown autographed Oakland Raiders NFL jersey. Made of heavy mesh.

Daryle Lamonica Oakland Raiders NFL Autographed Throwback Jersey $258.46 A Certificate of Authenticity is included with this Daryle Lamonica autographed Oakland Raiders NFL jersey. Made of heavy mesh.

Jim Otto Oakland Raiders NFL Autographed Throwback Jersey HOF Inscription $270.77 A Certificate of Authenticity is included with this Jim Otto autographed Oakland Raiders NFL jersey. Made of heavy mesh.

Siskiyou Gifts SFP125C Glossy NFL Team Pin Oakland Raiders $18.85 Officially licensed by the NFL. Officially licensed by the Oakland Raiders. TopQuality. Satisfaction ensured. Huge selection to choose from.

Siskiyou Gifts SFP127 NFL Team Pin Oakland Raiders $18.9 Officially licensed by the NFL. Officially licensed by the Oakland Raiders. TopQuality. Satisfaction ensured. Huge selection to choose from.

Oakland Raiders NFL Ticket Album $17.76 One day at an NFL stadium can provide a lifetime of memories. And the ticket that opened the door, your actual game ticket, can help capture those memories forever. So whether you have a large football ticket collection or you’re just starting out, a NFL Oakland Raiders Ticket Album is the perfect item to store, display, and protect your memories.A Ticket Album is a photo album for your tickets and allows you to create a table-top display that will keep the memories of the games you've attended as fresh as the day you were there. Also makes an ideal item to present tickets as a gift. (Tickets shown not included.)Features:Officially licensed by NFL®32 pages hold 64 ticketsFits tickets 3 3/8" x 7 5/8"Measures 8" wide by 8" tallIncludes stadium seating chart on back

NFL Ticket Album - Oakland Raiders $13.58 NFL Ticket Album - Oakland Raiders One day at an NFL stadium can provide a lifetime of memories. And the ticket that opened the door, your actual game ticket, can help capture those memories forever. So whether you have a large football ticket collection or you’re just starting out, a Ticket Album is the perfect item to store, display, and protect your memories. A Ticket Album is a photo album for your tickets and allows you to create a table-top display that will keep the memories of the games you've attended as fresh as the day you were there. Also makes an ideal item to present tickets as a gift. (Tickets shown not included.) Features: Officially licensed by NFL® 32 pages hold 64 tickets Fits tickets 3 3/8" x 7 5/8" Measures 8" wide by 8" tall Includes stadium seating chart on back

Oakland Raiders NFL Slash Snapback Hat $21.59 Hey fans--if you are looking for a simple yet timeless way to display your Oakland Raiders pride- then try this NFL Brand hat on for size. With a structured fit- bold team colors and quality construction- this Oakland Raiders NFL Slash Snapback Hat is the perfect addition to your growing collection of Raiders apparel. Adjustable back Six panel construction with eyelets Quality team logo and colors Officially licensed

Siskiyou Gifts F2CD125 NFL Candle Set 2 Oakland Raiders $28.6 NFL Candle Set includes two 2 x 2 vanilla scented candles featuring a metal square with a hand enameled NFL emblem. Check out our extensive line of wholesale NFL merchandise. Oakland Raiders.

Oakland Raiders Mouse Pad $10.15 Oakland Raiders Mouse Pad Our quality NFL mouse pad features a silk screened Oakland Raiders logo. 8" x 7

Oakland Raiders ID Bracelet $17.95 Oakland Raiders ID Bracelet Our large NFL ID Bracelet is 9" long and features a sculpted Oakland Raiders that has a hand enameled finish.

Oakland Raiders 5 x 15' NFL Wall Border from Kentex $24.95 Decorative NFL Oakland Raiders peel and stick vinyl border. Easy to apply, reposition and remove.To see other Oakland Raiders items from Kentex, please click here

Oakland Raiders Acrylic NFL Scarf $33.24 This Oakland Raiders Acrylic NFL Scarf features woven team logos and lettering. This officially licensed scarf is nearly 65 inches long and features frayed ends.Brand: Forever CollectiblesMade of 100-percent acrylicScarf features 4-inch frays on each endWoven team logos and letteringDimensions: 65 inches long x 7 inches wide x 1 inch thickPerfect way to represent you favorite team when it's cold outHand wash warmLay flat to dry

Oakland Raiders NFL Vintage Retro Bobble Head $18.99 Oakland Raiders NFL Vintage Retro Bobble Head This limited edition NFL Retro Bobble Head is made of a high quality resin that gives it the feel of vintage ceramic with incredible detail. This high quality throwback bobble measures approximately 8 inches tall and is the perfect gift for fans of any age. Manufactured by Forever Collectibles and officially licensed by the NFL.

Oakland Raiders NFL Resin Mini Helmet Ornament $9.95 Oakland Raiders NFL Resin Mini Helmet Ornament Celebrate the holidays while supporting your team with this NFL resin miniature helmet ornament from Forever Collectibles. This helmet ornament is made of resin so it has a feel that is very similar to that of a real NFL football helmet and features team logo and colors. Measures approximately 3 1/2 inches. Each ornament is individually gift boxed and officially licensed.

Oakland Raiders NFL Adjustable Flame Hat $17.99 Oakland Raiders NFL Adjustable Flame Hat Help your team catch fire with this NFL adjustable Flame cap from Reebok. This comfortable hat features a stylish embroidered flame design embroidered team logo on the front official team colors adjustable strap on back and is made of 100% cotton which is easy to wash. Officially licensed by the NFL.

NFL Oakland Raiders Football Shape Soap Dish $19.99 Oakland Raiders Soap DishItem #16953 Officially licensed merchandiseDish features the official team colors and logoDimensions: 6.25"L Material(s): plastic Note: Atlanta Falcons pictured, ad is for Oakland Raiders Type: Bath Accessories

Oakland Raiders NFL Can Shaft Cooler $22.5 This Oakland Raiders NFL can shaft keeps up to 6 cans cold and is as fashionable as it is durable. The heavy duty foam insulated vinyl shaft features a shoulder strap and a zipper that extends the entire length with your favorite team logo. 28" long 3 1/2" diameter - fits 12 oz. cans.

Oakland Raiders NFL Crystal Freezer Mug $21.98 Oakland Raiders NFL Crystal Freezer Mug The latest; greatest and coldest! It's easy to enjoy a thirst quenching frosty beverage with this mug! This handsome 16 ounce mug combines state-of-the-art refreezability with a color coordinated handle and base. Features eye catching crystals between the

Oakland Raiders NFL 11 Garden Gnome $30.22 Oakland Raiders NFL 11 Garden Gnome These new roaming Garden Gnomes are ready for your garden in 2008! These 11 tall figures are made of a resin material and come to you with full team colors and team specific logos. They are cute; fun and love to travel from time to time! Made by Forever Collectibles.

Tags: football, nfl, nfl oakland raiders, nfl oakland raiders roster, nfl oakland raiders schedule, nfl oakland raiders schedule 2009, nfl oakland vs houston, oakland, raiders, sports

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