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2009 Buffalo Bills Fantasy Football Preview

Hello to everyone from gothicfootball.com on this Easter Sunday.  This is the first installment in my series that will offer readers fantasy previews for all 32 NFL teams in the coming weeks.  The first division I will cover is the AFC East and I will start with the Buffalo Bills.

As I mentioned I am originally from Western, NY so I am very familiar with the Bills.  Lets face facts people the Bills have been non existent since Jim Kelly and crew left town 10 plus years ago.  In terms of the fantasy impact that Bills players will make this season lets do some dissecting.  First, lets start with the receivers. Obviously the main move the Bills made this off season was the acquisition of T.O. when he was released from the Cowboys.  Although I was shocked at first that the Bills went after him the more I thought about it the more it made sense.  As I mentioned before in a previous post the Bills are desperate for anyone who can bring some excitement to town and the fact that T.O signed with the Bills so quickly proves he knew there wasn't much interest in him elsewhere.  My friend and fellow gothicfooball.com columnist G Pepper hit the nail right on the head when he says:

"Only T.O.and only in Buffalo can you make a big splash by signing a one year deal, then tell the team the following week after that you're going to work out from home and they ACCEPT it!  That shows you how desperate they BOTH are.  I did find Owens'  comment pretty funny: "I'll workout with them if I am in the area." Umm yeah because Buffalo is so close to anywhere you are travelling to." It's practically right next to Miami and Los Angeles, isn't it? T.O. is there because he needs the Bills to try to showcase himself into one more fat contract."

Brother, I couldn't have said it any better. T.O. will be productive this year because he always has been no matter where he has played. How much production remains to be seen. He has a new QB (I am holding back the tears streaming down from my eyes) and must also become acclimated to the Buffalo weather which he is not accustomed to. All in all I expect Owens to put up in the neighborhood of 1000 yds and 6-8 TD's. Those stats would make Owens an nice number 2 fantasy option heading into '09. T.O.'s presence immediately helps out incumbent number 1 WR Lee Evans. Evans is a great deep ball threat and has been a nice player for the Bills since they drafted him in 2004 but as most fantasy owners can attest to tends to disappear for weeks at a time with little or no production. Owens will at the very least prevent teams from being able to double Evans and gives the Bills that other receiver they haven't had since Evans has been on the team. Expect Evans to post similar stats to what he has been posting throughout his career with the Bills: 800-1000 yds and 4-6 TD's making Evans more of a number 3 WR or a Flex option rather than someone you can depend on a regular basis. With Evans you always have the chance for an 80 yd bomb but you also risk getting nothing from him for weeks at a time. For the most part T.O. and Evans are the only 2 Bills receivers that I would consider on draft day. They have no TE to speak of and Josh Reed is mediocre at best. Moreover, Rosco Parrish is on the trading block. I may possible consider spending a late round flier on James Hardy who seemed to emerge as a decent Red Zone threat late last year before getting injured.

What effect will T.O. have on Bills QB Trent Edwards? Is Edwards a number 1 fantasy QB heading into drafts this summer because of Owens' presence?  I will now address that very topic. The Bills had high hopes for Edwards when they drafted 92nd overall in the 2007 draft, The 2007 draft also showcased JaMarcus Russell and Brady Quinn. Last season Edwards and the Bills got off to a fast start until they came out here and Adrian Wilson destroyed Edwards with a devastating hit that caused Edwards to miss 2 games and even after returning was never the same for the rest of the year. It was readily apparent that he was scared to go down the field subsequent to that hit and it seemed like all he would do is immediately check down to Marshawn Lynch in the flat out of the backfield. The jury is still out on Edwards as at times he looks impressive and at others looks woeful. This is a big year for Edwards as he heads into his 3rd NFL season. He has weapons with Evans and T.O. but it remains to be seen whether he can take advantage of what he has to take his career to the next level and start flirting with the Pro Bowl. Owens will help Edwards just from his mere presence of being on the field but he will also most certainly test his leadership qualities and it will be interesting to see how the third year signal caller will handle himself the first time T.O. goes off the deep end. The one thing the Bills need that in my estimation would help Edwards' development dramatically is an athletic, pass catching TE. The Bills have really never had that type of player and it would give Edwards a nice security blanket without having to rely so much on Lynch coming out of the backfield. To start the year no way do I trust Edwards as a number 1 fantasy QB until he proves to me that he can take this team under his wing and lead them consistently on a week to week basis. Treat Edwards as a decent number 2 fantasy QB heading into 2009 and someone who you may use as a bye week replacement or in other situations when the Bills have favorable match ups.

The Bills running game did not get any help from the commissioners office when it was announced recently that Lynch would be suspended for the first 3 games of the season. When you really think about it though you realize that Lynch will now miss approximately 1/3 of the fantasy season. With that in mind I expect Lynch to be somewhat of a bargain this year much in the same way Steve Smith was last year. If you remember last year Smith (who is one of my favorite players in the league and who I should have included in my top 5 WR's article a couple weeks ago) was suspended by Carolina for the first 2 games of the year for punching Ken Lucas (who has since been released) in the face. In my draft last summer Smith went in the 5th round and without the suspension would have been a late 2nd round or early 3rd round pick. I expect a similar fate for Lynch this year. Lynch certainly was a late 1st or an early 2nd round pick before the suspension and now I believe his stock has slipped to the late 3rd or 4th round. Sure, Lynch in the 4th round sounds like a steal but if you go that route and draft him you really have to cover yourself for the first 3 games of the season. Moreover, even when Lynch does come back in week 4 he will surely need to work off the rust making it a real possibility that fantasy owners may not see any true production out of Lynch until week 4 or maybe even week 5. Furthermore, it is no guarantee that this schmuck will stay out of trouble. He is already in the doghouse of the commissioner and anymore screw ups will have the California native facing even sterner punishment. If you draft Lynch make sure you pick up either Fred Jackson or Dominick Rhodes whom the Bills just signed recently to a 2 year contract. The bottom line is this. You need starters with your first 5 picks at least and I just don't know if I can use a 3rd or 4th round pick on someone who isn't going to play the first 3 games. Personally, I wouldn't touch Lynch until at least the 5th round and no way he will be there that late.

In closing, I would steer clear of most of Buffalo's regular starters for fantasy purposes until this group proves that they can coexist and be a productive and cohesive unit on a weekly basis. Next up: The Miami Dolphins.

About the Author

Chris Limburg is the fanatical purveyor of gothicfootball.com: A Oakland Raider/fantasy football blog that provides commentary on everything that is the NFL or fantasy football. Visit today at http://www.gothicfootball.com

Who will be the NFL's rookies of the year for offense and Defense? and why?

There's a lot of talent out there this year....but I'm hoping that Calvin Johnson of the Detroit Lions wins it. I may be biased because I'm a lifelong Lions fan but he should win it by sheer talent and big playmaking ability. He should have a great year, but there are so many great offensive players that it's tough to call anyone for sure....The QBs could get it, a few running backs, but I think Cj has the receivers locked up for the win.....it'll most likely come down to a few QBs such as Russell and Quinn, a few running backs but mainly Peterson and Lynch......on defense, I'm not very sure but it could be the guys in the top of the draft like gaines Adams or Willis or Timmons. Any one of these three could have superior seasons with a lot of tackles and huge plays. But ya never know, there are always sleepers for sure and total busts....but all of these players should be in contention.....

I don't know about Calvin Johnson because the Lions have a bad track record on 1st round WRs (Roy Williams is the only one out of the previous 3 they've taken in the last 5 years to even still be on the team). I also have doubts about Kitna's ability to get him the ball. Detroit's problems stem from the fact that they only draft players at the so-called "skill positions" and ignore the offensive line and the defense, besides the fact that they tend to draft busts at skill positions (Joey Harrington, Charles Rogers, Mike Williams).

I think that Russell's probably going to be the offensive rookie of the year. Oakland's defense is among the best in the NFL and if he's even half-decent in his rookie year (well, he is a Culpepper clone and Culpepper had one of his 2 great years in his first year as a starter), that would mean that Oakland would have enough offense to not lose games. As the Ravens proved last year (with McNair not knowing the playbook, but just not messing up, and Lewis completely washed up), you only need to be mediocre on offense if you've got a great defense and you can win 13 games. When you consider that the AFC North is a much tougher division than the AFC West, Oakland could be in a situation to shock everybody and win that division (I thought they were much better than a 2 win team last year). If Oakland were to make the playoffs or even go 8-8, Russell will have the rookie of the year locked up even if he was mediocre.

On the defensive side of the ball, I think the rookie of the year will probably be Paul Posluszny, the 2nd round pick of Buffalo. He's a LB who won the award for best defensive player in 2005 and had a pretty good 2006 as well despite switching from the outside to the inside and having to recover from a knee injury before the year. He's similar to an AJ Hawk, but with less speed and better instincts. Hall of Famer Jack Ham says he's the best LB to every play at Penn State (yes, Jack Ham did play at Penn State). I see him stepping in with Buffalo immediately and making big plays on that defense. While Lynch will probably be a good player, I think they'll look back at this draft and consider Poz to be their best pick. He could be a young Brian Urlacher or Bill Romanowski.

Marshawn Lynch 2007 NFL Draft

Marshawn Lynch $73.28 High Quality Content by WIKIPEDIA articles Marshawn Terrell Lynch (born April 22, 1986, in Oakland, California) is an American football running back for the Buffalo Bills of the National Football League. He was drafted by the Bills in the first round (12th overall) of the 2007 NFL Draft. Lynch was the Bills first 1,000 yard rookie rusher since Greg Bell in 1984. He finished the season with 1,115 total rushing yards and seven touchdowns. Lynch played collegiately at California where he was the schools second alltime career rusher with 3,230 yards. Lynch holds the school record for most 100yard rushing games at 17. Author: Miller, Frederic P./ Vandome, Agnes F./ McBrewster, John Binding Type: Paperback Number of Pages: 100 Publication Date: 2010/11/21 Language: English Dimensions: 9.02 x 5.98 x 0.24 inches

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Dick Lynch by Cirino, Zheng [Paperback] $111.53 Please note that the content of this book primarily consists of articles available from Wikipedia or other free sources online. Richard Dennis Dick Lynch (April 29, 1936 September 24, 2008) was an American football defensive back in the National Football League for the Washington Redskins and the New York Giants. He was a onetime Pro Bowler in 1963, when he led the NFL in interceptions. He also led the league in interceptions in 1961. Lynch was born in Oceanside, New York. Lynch played college football at the University of Notre Dame and is in their Hall of Fame. While known as a defensive standout as a professional, in 1957 he scored the only touchdown in Notre Dames 70 win over the University of Oklahoma that ended the Sooners 47game winning streak. Author: Cirino, Zheng Binding Type: Paperback Number of Pages: 164 Publication Date: 2011/05/14 Language: English Dimensions: 9.02 x 5.98 x 0.38 inches

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Lynch on Lynch, Revised Edition $15.03 David Lynch erupted onto the cinema landscape in 1977 with "Eraserhead," establishing himself as one of the most original and imaginative directors at work in contemporary cinema. Over the course of his career, he has remained true to a vision of the innocent lost in darkness and confusion, balancing hallucination and surrealism with a sense of Americana that is as pure and simple as his compelling storylines. In this volume, Lynch speaks openly about his films as well as about his lifelong commitment to painting, his work in photography, his television projects, and his musical collaborations with Angelo Badalamenti.

Lynch on Lynch (Paperback) $31.36 David Lynch erupted onto the cinema landscape in 1977 with Eraserhead, establishing himself as one of the most original and imaginative directors at work in contemporary cinema. Over the course of his career, he has remained true to a vision of the innocent lost in darkness and confusion, balancing hallucination and surrealism with a sense of Americana that is as pure and simple as his compelling storylines. In this volume, Lynch speaks openly about his films as well as about his lifelong commitment to painting, his work in photography, his television projects, and his musical collaborations with Angelo Badalamenti.

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